Wolves vs Stoke prediction
England Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wolves to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Wolves 55% at home, a draw 25% and Stoke 20%, so its call is 1: Wolves to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 24% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wolves and 1.0 for Stoke; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Wolves, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wolves
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Preston 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 v Blackburn 2026-08-14
Stoke
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Southampton 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-08-15
- L 0-2 at Bristol City 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 v Portsmouth 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 v Millwall 2026-04-21
From 1129 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 29 Aug
- Derby vs Swansea · FT 0–3
- Middlesbrough vs West Brom · FT 3–1
- Norwich vs Burnley · FT 4–1
- Watford vs West Ham · FT 1–1
- Southampton vs Millwall · FT 5–1
- Charlton vs Preston · FT 1–0
- Bolton vs Lincoln · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Portsmouth · FT 2–1
- Blackburn vs QPR · FT 1–2
- Cardiff vs Sheffield United · FT 2–2