Brit Predictor

Middlesbrough vs West Brom prediction

England Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeMiddlesbrough 3–1 West BromResult 1

Who wins?

MiddlesbroughDrawWest Brom
Model 1 ✓
49%28%23%
Market 1 ✓
56%24%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Middlesbrough 49% at home, a draw 28% and West Brom 23%, so its call is 1: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 24% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Middlesbrough and 0.9 for West Brom; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Middlesbrough

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

LWDWW
  • L 1-2 at Blackburn 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-15
  • D 2-2 at Wrexham 2026-05-02
  • W 5-1 v Watford 2026-04-25
  • W 1-0 v Sheffield Weds 2026-04-22

West Brom

Attack 16th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.

WWLDW
  • W 3-1 v Burnley 2026-08-23
  • W 2-1 at Norwich 2026-08-15
  • L 1-2 at Sheffield Weds 2026-05-02
  • D 0-0 v Ipswich 2026-04-25
  • W 3-0 v Watford 2026-04-21

From 1129 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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