Southampton vs Millwall prediction
England Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Southampton 46% at home, a draw 27% and Millwall 27%, so its call is 1: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 25% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Southampton and 1.2 for Millwall; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Southampton
Attack 1st of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Stoke 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Watford 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 at Preston 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 v Ipswich 2026-04-28
- D 2-2 v Bristol City 2026-04-21
Millwall
Attack 9th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Norwich 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Bristol City 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Oxford 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Leicester 2026-04-24
- W 3-1 at Stoke 2026-04-21
From 1129 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 29 Aug
- Derby vs Swansea · FT 0–3
- Middlesbrough vs West Brom · FT 3–1
- Wolves vs Stoke · FT 4–1
- Norwich vs Burnley · FT 4–1
- Watford vs West Ham · FT 1–1
- Charlton vs Preston · FT 1–0
- Bolton vs Lincoln · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Portsmouth · FT 2–1
- Blackburn vs QPR · FT 1–2
- Cardiff vs Sheffield United · FT 2–2