Werder Bremen vs Paderborn prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Werder Bremen to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Werder Bremen 50% at home, a draw 32% and Paderborn 18%, so its call is 1: Werder Bremen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Werder Bremen and 0.6 for Paderborn; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Paderborn, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Werder Bremen
Attack 14th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Dortmund 2026-10-09
- W 3-2 v Augsburg 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at FC Koln 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-05
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-08-30
Paderborn
Attack 18th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Stuttgart 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Hoffenheim 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 at Dortmund 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Freiburg 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 at Mainz 2026-08-29
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Dortmund · FT 0–0
- Elversberg vs Augsburg · FT 4–3
- Hamburg vs Stuttgart · FT 1–0
- Schalke 04 vs Mainz · FT 0–1
- Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig · FT 6–1