Elversberg vs Augsburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Elversberg to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Elversberg 56% at home, a draw 22% and Augsburg 21%, so its call is 1: Elversberg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 25% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Elversberg and 1.2 for Augsburg; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Elversberg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Elversberg
Attack 6th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Union Berlin 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-13
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Leverkusen 2026-08-29
Augsburg
Attack 11th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Leverkusen 2026-09-12
- W 4-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Schalke 04 2026-08-30
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Dortmund · FT 0–0
- Hamburg vs Stuttgart · FT 1–0
- Schalke 04 vs Mainz · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn · FT 2–2
- Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig · FT 6–1