Union Berlin vs Dortmund prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeUnion Berlin 0–0 DortmundResult X
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Union BerlinDrawDortmund
Model 2 ✗
16%22%62%
Market 2 ✗
15%20%65%
Brit Predictor's model rates Dortmund to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Union Berlin 16% at home, a draw 22% and Dortmund 62%, so its call is 2: Dortmund to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 20% / 65%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Union Berlin and 2.0 for Dortmund; the single most likely score is 0-2.
Expected goals0.9 – 2.0
Most likely score0-2
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score53%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Union Berlin
Attack 15th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
WLLLD
- W 1-0 v Elversberg 2026-10-10
- L 0-7 at Bayern Munich 2026-09-18
- L 1-3 v Schalke 04 2026-09-11
- L 0-4 at Leverkusen 2026-09-05
- D 3-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-08-29
Dortmund
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
DWWWW
- D 2-2 v Werder Bremen 2026-10-09
- W 1-0 at Stuttgart 2026-09-19
- W 3-0 v Paderborn 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 v Hamburg 2026-08-29
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Elversberg vs Augsburg · FT 4–3
- Hamburg vs Stuttgart · FT 1–0
- Schalke 04 vs Mainz · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn · FT 2–2
- Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig · FT 6–1