Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeHamburg 1–0 StuttgartResult 1
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
HamburgDrawStuttgart
Model 2 ✗
23%23%55%
Market 2 ✗
21%21%57%
Brit Predictor's model rates Stuttgart to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Hamburg 23% at home, a draw 23% and Stuttgart 55%, so its call is 2: Stuttgart to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 21% / 57%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hamburg and 2.0 for Stuttgart; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 2.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score61%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hamburg
Attack 16th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
WWLLL
- W 3-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at RB Leipzig 2026-09-13
- L 0-5 v Mainz 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Dortmund 2026-08-29
Stuttgart
Attack 4th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
WLLWL
- W 2-0 at Paderborn 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Dortmund 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-12
- W 4-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-04
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-08-28
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Dortmund · FT 0–0
- Elversberg vs Augsburg · FT 4–3
- Schalke 04 vs Mainz · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn · FT 2–2
- Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig · FT 6–1