Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Full timeBayern Munich 6–1 RB LeipzigResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
Model 1 ✓
76%14%11%
Market 1 ✓
80%11%
Brit Predictor's model rates Bayern Munich to win as the most likely result (76%). It gives Bayern Munich 76% at home, a draw 14% and RB Leipzig 11%, so its call is 1: Bayern Munich to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 80% / 11% / 9%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.1 for Bayern Munich and 1.2 for RB Leipzig; the single most likely score is 3-1.
Expected goals3.1 – 1.2
Most likely score3-1
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams score65%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Bayern Munich
Attack 1st of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
DWWDW
- D 2-2 at Augsburg 2026-10-10
- W 7-0 v Union Berlin 2026-09-18
- W 2-1 at Elversberg 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-05
- W 5-1 v Stuttgart 2026-08-28
RB Leipzig
Attack 5th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
WLWLW
- W 6-0 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-10-10
- L 0-2 at Leverkusen 2026-09-20
- W 5-0 v Hamburg 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v M'gladbach 2026-08-29
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Dortmund · FT 0–0
- Elversberg vs Augsburg · FT 4–3
- Hamburg vs Stuttgart · FT 1–0
- Schalke 04 vs Mainz · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn · FT 2–2