Schalke 04 vs Mainz prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Schalke 04 to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Schalke 04 35% at home, a draw 33% and Mainz 32%, so its call is 1X: Schalke 04 to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 26% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Schalke 04 and 0.9 for Mainz; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Schalke 04, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Schalke 04
Attack 17th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Freiburg 2026-10-11
- D 0-0 v Elversberg 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 at Union Berlin 2026-09-11
- D 0-0 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Augsburg 2026-08-30
Mainz
Attack 10th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 3-4 v Leverkusen 2026-10-10
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-12
- W 5-0 at Hamburg 2026-09-06
- D 0-0 v Paderborn 2026-08-29
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Dortmund · FT 0–0
- Elversberg vs Augsburg · FT 4–3
- Hamburg vs Stuttgart · FT 1–0
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn · FT 2–2
- Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig · FT 6–1