Port Vale vs Chesterfield prediction
England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Port Vale to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Port Vale 37% at home, a draw 28% and Chesterfield 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 28% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Port Vale and 1.1 for Chesterfield; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Port Vale
Attack 15th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Grimsby 2026-10-10
- L 0-2 at Walsall 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-01
Chesterfield
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Crawley Town 2026-10-10
- W 4-2 v Tranmere 2026-10-03
- L 1-2 at Cheltenham 2026-09-26
- W 2-0 v York 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-09-12
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 17 Oct
- Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs · FT 1–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Crawley Town · FT 2–1
- Swindon vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Barnet · FT 1–2
- Oldham vs Cheltenham · FT 4–1
- Colchester vs Exeter · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Northampton · FT 0–2
- Accrington vs Gillingham · FT 3–1
- Newport County vs York · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Rochdale · FT 3–2