Newport County vs York prediction
England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates York to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Newport County 23% at home, a draw 21% and York 56%, so its call is 2: York to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 26% / 45%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Newport County and 2.1 for York; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Newport County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Colchester 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Gillingham 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 v Grimsby 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 at Accrington 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-12
York
Attack 1st of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Northampton 2026-10-10
- W 3-0 v Gillingham 2026-09-26
- L 0-2 at Chesterfield 2026-09-19
- W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 17 Oct
- Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs · FT 1–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Crawley Town · FT 2–1
- Port Vale vs Chesterfield · FT 1–0
- Swindon vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Barnet · FT 1–2
- Oldham vs Cheltenham · FT 4–1
- Colchester vs Exeter · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Northampton · FT 0–2
- Accrington vs Gillingham · FT 3–1
- Crewe vs Rochdale · FT 3–2