Grimsby vs Northampton prediction
England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Grimsby 55% at home, a draw 33% and Northampton 12%, so its call is 1: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 26% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Grimsby and 0.4 for Northampton; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Grimsby
Attack 4th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Shrewsbury 2026-10-03
- L 1-2 at Newport County 2026-09-26
- W 2-0 v Crawley Town 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-12
Northampton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Rotherham 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Newport County 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Crawley Town 2026-09-01
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 17 Oct
- Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs · FT 1–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Crawley Town · FT 2–1
- Port Vale vs Chesterfield · FT 1–0
- Swindon vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Barnet · FT 1–2
- Oldham vs Cheltenham · FT 4–1
- Colchester vs Exeter · FT 0–0
- Accrington vs Gillingham · FT 3–1
- Newport County vs York · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Rochdale · FT 3–2