Accrington vs Gillingham prediction
England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeAccrington 3–1 GillinghamResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
AccringtonDrawGillingham
Model 1 ✓
41%28%31%
Market 1 ✓
42%28%30%
Brit Predictor's model rates Accrington to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Accrington 41% at home, a draw 28% and Gillingham 31%, so its call is 1: Accrington to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 28% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Accrington and 1.1 for Gillingham; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score47%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Accrington
Attack 19th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
DWDDL
- D 0-0 at Oldham 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Cheltenham 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 at Swindon 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 v Newport County 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Barnet 2026-09-12
Gillingham
Attack 18th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
WDLWW
- W 4-1 at Rotherham 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 v Newport County 2026-10-03
- L 0-3 at York 2026-09-26
- W 3-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-12
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 17 Oct
- Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs · FT 1–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Crawley Town · FT 2–1
- Port Vale vs Chesterfield · FT 1–0
- Swindon vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Barnet · FT 1–2
- Oldham vs Cheltenham · FT 4–1
- Colchester vs Exeter · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Northampton · FT 0–2
- Newport County vs York · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Rochdale · FT 3–2