Crewe vs Rochdale prediction
England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Crewe to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Crewe 49% at home, a draw 28% and Rochdale 22%, so its call is 1: Crewe to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Crewe and 0.8 for Rochdale; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Crewe
Attack 12th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Swindon 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Bristol Rvs 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Shrewsbury 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at Colchester 2026-09-12
Rochdale
Attack 20th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Tranmere 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 v Swindon 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-26
- W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Walsall 2026-09-12
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 17 Oct
- Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs · FT 1–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Crawley Town · FT 2–1
- Port Vale vs Chesterfield · FT 1–0
- Swindon vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Barnet · FT 1–2
- Oldham vs Cheltenham · FT 4–1
- Colchester vs Exeter · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Northampton · FT 0–2
- Accrington vs Gillingham · FT 3–1
- Newport County vs York · FT 1–1