Rochdale vs Swindon prediction
England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Swindon to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Rochdale 31% at home, a draw 25% and Swindon 44%, so its call is 2: Swindon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rochdale and 1.6 for Swindon; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Rochdale
Attack 20th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-26
- W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Walsall 2026-09-12
- L 1-4 v Gillingham 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-09-01
Swindon
Attack 5th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Accrington 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 at York 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Colchester 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Port Vale 2026-09-01
From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 3 Oct
- Chesterfield vs Tranmere · FT 4–2
- Salford vs Fleetwood Town · FT 1–0
- Gillingham vs Newport County · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Shrewsbury · FT 1–2
- Crewe vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–1
- Accrington vs Cheltenham · FT 2–0
- Exeter vs Rotherham · FT 1–0