Exeter vs Rotherham prediction
England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (42%). It gives Exeter 27% at home, a draw 42% and Rotherham 32%, so its call is X2: Rotherham to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 28% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.6 for Exeter and 0.7 for Rotherham; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Exeter, Rotherham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Exeter
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Walsall 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Barnet 2026-09-01
Rotherham
Attack 6th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Crewe 2026-09-26
- W 1-0 at Northampton 2026-09-19
- D 3-3 v Salford 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at Tranmere 2026-09-01
From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 3 Oct
- Chesterfield vs Tranmere · FT 4–2
- Salford vs Fleetwood Town · FT 1–0
- Rochdale vs Swindon · FT 1–0
- Gillingham vs Newport County · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Shrewsbury · FT 1–2
- Crewe vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–1
- Accrington vs Cheltenham · FT 2–0