Brit Predictor

Grimsby vs Shrewsbury prediction

England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeGrimsby 1–2 ShrewsburyResult 2

Who wins?

GrimsbyDrawShrewsbury
Model 1 ✗
65%21%14%
Market 1 ✗
59%23%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Grimsby 65% at home, a draw 21% and Shrewsbury 14%, so its call is 1: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Grimsby and 0.8 for Shrewsbury; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score46%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Grimsby

Attack 4th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

LWWDD
  • L 1-2 at Newport County 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v Crawley Town 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Cheltenham 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 at Accrington 2026-09-01

Shrewsbury

Attack 22nd of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

DDWLL
  • D 2-2 v Colchester 2026-09-26
  • D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Northampton 2026-09-12
  • L 0-2 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-05
  • L 0-3 at Rochdale 2026-09-01

From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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