Brit Predictor

Chesterfield vs Tranmere prediction

England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeChesterfield 4–2 TranmereResult 1

Who wins?

ChesterfieldDrawTranmere
Model 1 ✓
63%21%16%
Market 1 ✓
60%22%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Chesterfield 63% at home, a draw 21% and Tranmere 16%, so its call is 1: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Chesterfield and 0.9 for Tranmere; the single most likely score is 2-0.

Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Chesterfield

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.

LWWDD
  • L 1-2 at Cheltenham 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v York 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-09-12
  • D 3-3 v Barnet 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Gillingham 2026-09-01

Tranmere

Attack 17th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

DDLWD
  • D 1-1 v Walsall 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 at Exeter 2026-09-19
  • L 0-2 at Gillingham 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 v Rotherham 2026-09-01

From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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