Brit Predictor

Gillingham vs Newport County prediction

England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeGillingham 0–0 Newport CountyResult X

Who wins?

GillinghamDrawNewport County
Model 1 ✗
48%26%27%
Market 1 ✗
49%27%25%

Brit Predictor's model rates Gillingham to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Gillingham 48% at home, a draw 26% and Newport County 27%, so its call is 1: Gillingham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 27% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gillingham and 1.1 for Newport County; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score53%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Gillingham

Attack 19th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.

LWWWD
  • L 0-3 at York 2026-09-26
  • W 3-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-12
  • W 4-1 at Rochdale 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Chesterfield 2026-09-01

Newport County

Attack 16th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.

WDDLL
  • W 2-1 v Grimsby 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 at Accrington 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-12
  • L 0-1 at Northampton 2026-09-05
  • L 1-2 at Salford 2026-09-01

From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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