Brit Predictor

Accrington vs Cheltenham prediction

England League Two · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeAccrington 2–0 CheltenhamResult 1

Who wins?

AccringtonDrawCheltenham
Model 12 ✓
42%25%33%
Market 12 ✓
36%27%37%

Brit Predictor's model rates Accrington to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Accrington 42% at home, a draw 25% and Cheltenham 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 27% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Accrington and 1.3 for Cheltenham; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Accrington

Attack 18th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

DDLWD
  • D 1-1 at Swindon 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 v Newport County 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 at Barnet 2026-09-12
  • W 3-2 v Crawley Town 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-01

Cheltenham

Attack 8th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

WDWDW
  • W 2-1 v Chesterfield 2026-09-26
  • D 1-1 at Colchester 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 at Crawley Town 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-05
  • W 3-2 v York 2026-09-01

From 1198 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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