Hartlepool vs Worthing prediction
England National League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hartlepool to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Hartlepool 43% at home, a draw 26% and Worthing 31%, so its call is 1: Hartlepool to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 25% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hartlepool and 1.2 for Worthing; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on Worthing, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Hartlepool
Attack 24th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-09-16
- L 0-2 at Kidderminster 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 v Woking 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Halifax 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 v Eastleigh 2026-08-28
Worthing
Attack 8th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Hornchurch 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Fylde 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 v Boreham Wood 2026-08-31
- L 2-3 at Tamworth 2026-08-28
From 1201 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Tamworth vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1
- Gateshead vs Southend · FT 1–6
- Halifax vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Altrincham · FT 1–2
- Woking vs Kidderminster · FT 0–0
- Eastleigh vs Carlisle · FT 1–0
- Boreham Wood vs Harrogate · FT 4–1
- Barrow vs Aldershot · FT 1–0
- Forest Green vs Boston Utd · FT 1–3
- Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe · FT 1–0