Gateshead vs Southend prediction
England National League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southend to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Gateshead 20% at home, a draw 22% and Southend 58%, so its call is 2: Southend to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 21% / 64%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gateshead and 1.9 for Southend; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gateshead
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Kidderminster 2026-09-16
- L 0-4 at Forest Green 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Solihull 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Harrogate 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 v Sutton 2026-08-28
Southend
Attack 4th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 at Carlisle 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Yeovil 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Woking 2026-08-31
- L 1-3 v Kidderminster 2026-08-28
From 1201 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Hartlepool vs Worthing · FT 1–3
- Tamworth vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1
- Halifax vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Altrincham · FT 1–2
- Woking vs Kidderminster · FT 0–0
- Eastleigh vs Carlisle · FT 1–0
- Boreham Wood vs Harrogate · FT 4–1
- Barrow vs Aldershot · FT 1–0
- Forest Green vs Boston Utd · FT 1–3
- Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe · FT 1–0