Eastleigh vs Carlisle prediction
England National League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Eastleigh 23% at home, a draw 23% and Carlisle 55%, so its call is 2: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 22% / 55%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Eastleigh and 1.9 for Carlisle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Eastleigh
Attack 20th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Sutton 2026-09-15
- D 1-1 v Boreham Wood 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-09-04
- D 1-1 v Aldershot 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 at Hartlepool 2026-08-28
Carlisle
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 v Southend 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-05
- W 4-2 v Scunthorpe 2026-08-31
- D 1-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-28
From 1201 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Hartlepool vs Worthing · FT 1–3
- Tamworth vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1
- Gateshead vs Southend · FT 1–6
- Halifax vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Altrincham · FT 1–2
- Woking vs Kidderminster · FT 0–0
- Boreham Wood vs Harrogate · FT 4–1
- Barrow vs Aldershot · FT 1–0
- Forest Green vs Boston Utd · FT 1–3
- Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe · FT 1–0