Fylde vs Altrincham prediction
England National League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Fylde to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Fylde 43% at home, a draw 24% and Altrincham 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 20% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fylde and 1.4 for Altrincham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Fylde, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Fylde
Attack 9th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Harrogate 2026-09-15
- W 4-1 at Yeovil 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Worthing 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Solihull 2026-08-31
- W 2-0 v Forest Green 2026-08-28
Altrincham
Attack 18th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Hartlepool 2026-09-16
- L 1-5 at Woking 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Eastleigh 2026-09-04
- W 2-1 at Forest Green 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 v Halifax 2026-08-28
From 1201 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Hartlepool vs Worthing · FT 1–3
- Tamworth vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1
- Gateshead vs Southend · FT 1–6
- Halifax vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Woking vs Kidderminster · FT 0–0
- Eastleigh vs Carlisle · FT 1–0
- Boreham Wood vs Harrogate · FT 4–1
- Barrow vs Aldershot · FT 1–0
- Forest Green vs Boston Utd · FT 1–3
- Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe · FT 1–0