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Boreham Wood vs Harrogate prediction

England National League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBoreham Wood 4–1 HarrogateResult 1

Who wins?

Boreham WoodDrawHarrogate
Model 1 ✓
60%19%21%
Market 1 ✓
62%20%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Boreham Wood to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Boreham Wood 60% at home, a draw 19% and Harrogate 21%, so its call is 1: Boreham Wood to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 20% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Boreham Wood and 1.4 for Harrogate; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 74%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.4 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 74%
Both teams score69%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Boreham Wood

Attack 1st of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.

WDWWW
  • W 2-1 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-16
  • D 1-1 at Eastleigh 2026-09-12
  • W 2-1 v Carlisle 2026-09-05
  • W 3-2 at Worthing 2026-08-31
  • W 2-1 v Boston Utd 2026-08-27

Harrogate

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

LWWWL
  • L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-09-15
  • W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-31
  • L 1-3 at Aldershot 2026-08-28

From 1201 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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