Tottenham vs Everton prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Everton to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Tottenham 33% at home, a draw 30% and Everton 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tottenham and 1.3 for Everton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Tottenham
Attack 15th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 v Newcastle 2026-08-29
- L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Everton 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 at Chelsea 2026-05-19
Everton
Attack 16th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Man United 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-24
- L 1-3 v Sunderland 2026-05-17
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest · FT 1–2
- Bournemouth vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Chelsea vs Hull · FT 2–2
- Crystal Palace vs Ipswich · FT 2–3
- Liverpool vs Fulham · FT 0–0
- Sunderland vs Arsenal · FT 0–2