Chelsea vs Hull prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Chelsea 36% at home, a draw 31% and Hull 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 12% / 7%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Hull; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Hull, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Chelsea
Attack 5th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Arsenal 2026-09-06
- W 4-3 v Brighton 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Fulham 2026-08-24
- L 1-2 at Sunderland 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 v Tottenham 2026-05-19
Hull
Attack 12th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Aston Villa 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 at Coventry 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Man United 2026-08-22
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest · FT 1–2
- Bournemouth vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Crystal Palace vs Ipswich · FT 2–3
- Liverpool vs Fulham · FT 0–0
- Tottenham vs Everton · FT 0–0
- Sunderland vs Arsenal · FT 0–2