Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Aston Villa to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Aston Villa 41% at home, a draw 30% and Nott'm Forest 30%, so its call is 1: Aston Villa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 27% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Aston Villa and 1.1 for Nott'm Forest; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Aston Villa
Attack 10th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Hull 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Arsenal 2026-08-31
- L 0-4 at Brighton 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Man City 2026-05-24
- W 4-2 v Liverpool 2026-05-15
Nott'm Forest
Attack 11th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Tottenham 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at Liverpool 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Leeds 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Bournemouth 2026-05-24
- L 2-3 at Man United 2026-05-17
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Bournemouth vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Chelsea vs Hull · FT 2–2
- Crystal Palace vs Ipswich · FT 2–3
- Liverpool vs Fulham · FT 0–0
- Tottenham vs Everton · FT 0–0
- Sunderland vs Arsenal · FT 0–2