Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bournemouth to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Bournemouth 42% at home, a draw 27% and Brentford 31%, so its call is 1: Bournemouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bournemouth and 1.3 for Brentford; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Bournemouth
Attack 9th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Everton 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Man City 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 v Man City 2026-05-19
Brentford
Attack 8th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Sunderland 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-08-30
- W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-17
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest · FT 1–2
- Chelsea vs Hull · FT 2–2
- Crystal Palace vs Ipswich · FT 2–3
- Liverpool vs Fulham · FT 0–0
- Tottenham vs Everton · FT 0–0
- Sunderland vs Arsenal · FT 0–2