Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Arsenal to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Sunderland 15% at home, a draw 29% and Arsenal 56%, so its call is 2: Arsenal to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 25% / 60%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.6 for Sunderland and 1.5 for Arsenal; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sunderland
Attack 20th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Brentford 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 at Ipswich 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Everton 2026-05-17
Arsenal
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Aston Villa 2026-08-31
- W 3-0 v Coventry 2026-08-21
- W 2-1 at Crystal Palace 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Burnley 2026-05-18
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest · FT 1–2
- Bournemouth vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Chelsea vs Hull · FT 2–2
- Crystal Palace vs Ipswich · FT 2–3
- Liverpool vs Fulham · FT 0–0
- Tottenham vs Everton · FT 0–0