Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates RB Leipzig to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Werder Bremen 24% at home, a draw 24% and RB Leipzig 51%, so its call is 2: RB Leipzig to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 22% / 53%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Werder Bremen and 1.8 for RB Leipzig; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Werder Bremen
Attack 17th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Dortmund 2026-05-16
- L 0-1 at Hoffenheim 2026-05-09
- L 1-3 v Augsburg 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Stuttgart 2026-04-26
RB Leipzig
Attack 6th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 v M'gladbach 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-05-16
- W 2-1 v St Pauli 2026-05-09
- L 1-4 at Leverkusen 2026-05-02
- W 3-1 v Union Berlin 2026-04-24
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Hoffenheim vs Dortmund · FT 2–3
- Leverkusen vs Union Berlin · FT 4–0
- M'gladbach vs Elversberg · FT 3–4
- Paderborn vs Freiburg · FT 0–1
- Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich · FT 0–0