Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bayern Munich to win as the most likely result (75%). It gives Schalke 04 10% at home, a draw 15% and Bayern Munich 75%, so its call is 2: Bayern Munich to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 7% / 11% / 82%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Schalke 04 and 3.0 for Bayern Munich; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 77%. Careful: there is little recent data on Schalke 04, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Schalke 04
Attack 12th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Augsburg 2026-08-30
Bayern Munich
Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Stuttgart 2026-08-28
- W 5-1 v FC Koln 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Wolfsburg 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 v Heidenheim 2026-05-02
- W 4-3 at Mainz 2026-04-25
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Hoffenheim vs Dortmund · FT 2–3
- Leverkusen vs Union Berlin · FT 4–0
- M'gladbach vs Elversberg · FT 3–4
- Paderborn vs Freiburg · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig · FT 3–1