Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leverkusen to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives Leverkusen 66% at home, a draw 20% and Union Berlin 14%, so its call is 1: Leverkusen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 73% / 16% / 11%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Leverkusen and 1.0 for Union Berlin; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leverkusen
Attack 4th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Elversberg 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Hamburg 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 at Stuttgart 2026-05-09
- W 4-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-05-02
- W 2-1 at FC Koln 2026-04-25
Union Berlin
Attack 16th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Augsburg 2026-05-16
- W 3-1 at Mainz 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v FC Koln 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at RB Leipzig 2026-04-24
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Hoffenheim vs Dortmund · FT 2–3
- M'gladbach vs Elversberg · FT 3–4
- Paderborn vs Freiburg · FT 0–1
- Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig · FT 3–1
- Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich · FT 0–0