Brit Predictor

Rotherham vs Chesterfield prediction

England League Two · Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 WAT

Full timeRotherham 2–1 ChesterfieldResult 1

Who wins?

RotherhamDrawChesterfield
Model 12 ✓
39%26%35%
Market 2 ✗
29%27%44%

Brit Predictor's model rates Rotherham to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Rotherham 39% at home, a draw 26% and Chesterfield 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 27% / 44%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rotherham and 1.2 for Chesterfield; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rotherham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Rotherham

Attack 12th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.

DL
  • D 1-1 v York 2026-08-22
  • L 1-2 at Cheltenham 2026-08-15

Chesterfield

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

WLWWD
  • W 1-0 at Salford 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 at Swindon 2026-05-02
  • W 2-0 v Crewe 2026-04-25
  • D 1-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-04-18

From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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