Newport County vs Tranmere prediction
England League Two · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Newport County to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Newport County 42% at home, a draw 24% and Tranmere 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 29% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Newport County and 1.3 for Tranmere; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Newport County
Attack 18th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 3-5 at Bristol Rvs 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Oldham 2026-04-25
- L 0-1 at Cheltenham 2026-04-18
Tranmere
Attack 19th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Port Vale 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 v Grimsby 2026-05-02
- L 0-3 at Milton Keynes Dons 2026-04-25
- W 3-1 at Cheltenham 2026-04-21
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 29 Aug
- Port Vale vs Crewe · FT 0–0
- Barnet vs Cheltenham · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Chesterfield · FT 2–1
- Colchester vs Rochdale · FT 1–0
- Crawley Town vs Bristol Rvs · FT 0–2
- Gillingham vs Northampton · FT 1–1
- Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–2
- Oldham vs Swindon · FT 3–0
- Shrewsbury vs Salford · FT 1–0
- Walsall vs Accrington · FT 3–2
- York vs Exeter · FT 2–1