Gillingham vs Northampton prediction
England League Two · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Northampton to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Gillingham 25% at home, a draw 29% and Northampton 46%, so its call is 2: Northampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 28% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gillingham and 1.2 for Northampton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gillingham
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Fleetwood Town 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 v Walsall 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-05-02
- L 2-6 at Barnet 2026-04-25
- L 1-4 v Grimsby 2026-04-18
Northampton
Attack 17th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Crewe 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Swindon 2026-08-15
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 29 Aug
- Port Vale vs Crewe · FT 0–0
- Barnet vs Cheltenham · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Chesterfield · FT 2–1
- Colchester vs Rochdale · FT 1–0
- Crawley Town vs Bristol Rvs · FT 0–2
- Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–2
- Newport County vs Tranmere · FT 2–2
- Oldham vs Swindon · FT 3–0
- Shrewsbury vs Salford · FT 1–0
- Walsall vs Accrington · FT 3–2
- York vs Exeter · FT 2–1