Colchester vs Rochdale prediction
England League Two · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Colchester to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Colchester 62% at home, a draw 22% and Rochdale 16%, so its call is 1: Colchester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Colchester and 0.8 for Rochdale; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Colchester
Attack 13th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Oldham 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Accrington 2026-08-15
- W 4-1 at Cheltenham 2026-05-02
- L 0-1 v Notts County 2026-04-25
- L 0-1 at Harrogate 2026-04-18
Rochdale
Attack 21st of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Crawley Town 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at Newport County 2026-08-15
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 29 Aug
- Port Vale vs Crewe · FT 0–0
- Barnet vs Cheltenham · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Chesterfield · FT 2–1
- Crawley Town vs Bristol Rvs · FT 0–2
- Gillingham vs Northampton · FT 1–1
- Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–2
- Newport County vs Tranmere · FT 2–2
- Oldham vs Swindon · FT 3–0
- Shrewsbury vs Salford · FT 1–0
- Walsall vs Accrington · FT 3–2
- York vs Exeter · FT 2–1