Wealdstone vs Carlisle prediction
England National League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Wealdstone 23% at home, a draw 22% and Carlisle 55%, so its call is 2: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 23% / 52%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Wealdstone and 2.0 for Carlisle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wealdstone
Attack 12th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Worthing 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v Harrogate 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at Fylde 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Southend 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 v Scunthorpe 2026-04-18
Carlisle
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Hornchurch 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-08-15
- L 2-3 v Worthing 2026-08-08
- W 3-0 v Brackley Town 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 at Truro 2026-04-18
From 1141 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Fri 28 Aug
- Tamworth vs Worthing · FT 3–2
- Southend vs Kidderminster · FT 1–3
- Scunthorpe vs Solihull · FT 3–1
- Hornchurch vs Woking · FT 1–0
- Gateshead vs Sutton · FT 0–1
- Fylde vs Forest Green · FT 2–0
- Barrow vs Yeovil · FT 1–2
- Altrincham vs Halifax · FT 2–1
- Aldershot vs Harrogate · FT 3–1
- Hartlepool vs Eastleigh · FT 0–1
