Brit Predictor

Hornchurch vs Woking prediction

England National League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeHornchurch 1–0 WokingResult 1

Who wins?

HornchurchDrawWoking
Model 12 ✓
38%26%36%
Market 12 ✓
34%27%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hornchurch to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Hornchurch 38% at home, a draw 26% and Woking 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hornchurch and 1.4 for Woking; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Hornchurch

Attack 7th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

LWW
  • L 1-4 at Carlisle 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-08-15
  • W 3-0 v Kidderminster 2026-08-08

Woking

Attack 14th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.

WLLLW
  • W 3-2 v Fylde 2026-08-22
  • L 0-2 at Gateshead 2026-08-15
  • L 0-3 v Sutton 2026-08-08
  • L 0-1 v Halifax 2026-04-25
  • W 3-0 at Gateshead 2026-04-18

From 1141 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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