Brit Predictor

Tamworth vs Worthing prediction

England National League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeTamworth 3–2 WorthingResult 1

Who wins?

TamworthDrawWorthing
Model 12 ✓
43%25%33%
Market 12 ✓
42%24%33%

Brit Predictor's model rates Tamworth to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Tamworth 43% at home, a draw 25% and Worthing 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 24% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Tamworth and 1.4 for Worthing; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Worthing, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Tamworth

Attack 9th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

LLDWD
  • L 1-4 at Halifax 2026-08-22
  • L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-08-15
  • D 3-3 at Boreham Wood 2026-08-08
  • W 5-1 v Braintree Town 2026-04-25
  • D 1-1 at Eastleigh 2026-04-18

Worthing

Attack 13th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.

WLW
  • W 1-0 v Wealdstone 2026-08-22
  • L 1-2 v Forest Green 2026-08-15
  • W 3-2 at Carlisle 2026-08-08

From 1141 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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