Aldershot vs Harrogate prediction
England National League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Aldershot 28% at home, a draw 21% and Harrogate 51%, so its call is 2: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 25% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aldershot and 2.2 for Harrogate; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 73%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Aldershot
Attack 10th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Kidderminster 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Hartlepool 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 at Boston Utd 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 v Truro 2026-04-25
- L 1-2 at Brackley Town 2026-04-18
Harrogate
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-15
- W 5-2 v Solihull 2026-08-08
From 1141 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Fri 28 Aug
- Wealdstone vs Carlisle · FT 1–1
- Tamworth vs Worthing · FT 3–2
- Southend vs Kidderminster · FT 1–3
- Scunthorpe vs Solihull · FT 3–1
- Hornchurch vs Woking · FT 1–0
- Gateshead vs Sutton · FT 0–1
- Fylde vs Forest Green · FT 2–0
- Barrow vs Yeovil · FT 1–2
- Altrincham vs Halifax · FT 2–1
- Hartlepool vs Eastleigh · FT 0–1