Brit Predictor

Hartlepool vs Eastleigh prediction

England National League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeHartlepool 0–1 EastleighResult 2

Who wins?

HartlepoolDrawEastleigh
Model 1 ✗
47%27%26%
Market 1 ✗
55%24%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hartlepool to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Hartlepool 47% at home, a draw 27% and Eastleigh 26%, so its call is 1: Hartlepool to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 24% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hartlepool and 1.1 for Eastleigh; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Hartlepool

Attack 22nd of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.

LWWLW
  • L 1-2 at Sutton 2026-08-22
  • W 1-0 at Aldershot 2026-08-15
  • W 2-0 v Barrow 2026-08-08
  • L 1-3 at Boston Utd 2026-04-25
  • W 4-3 v Southend 2026-04-21

Eastleigh

Attack 19th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

WLWWD
  • W 3-2 v Scunthorpe 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 at Kidderminster 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-08
  • W 1-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-04-25
  • D 1-1 v Tamworth 2026-04-18

From 1141 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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