Brit Predictor
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Guiseley vs Sutton United prediction

England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

GuiseleyDrawSutton United
Model 1
46%27%27%
Market 2
27%25%48%

Brit Predictor's model rates Guiseley to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Guiseley 46% at home, a draw 27% and Sutton United 27%, so its call is 1: Guiseley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 25% / 48%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Guiseley and 1.1 for Sutton United; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Guiseley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score50%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Guiseley

Attack 74th of 80, defence 57th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England tier 5.

D
  • D 1-1 at Stevenage 2024-11-02

Sutton United

Attack 73rd of 80, defence 60th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England National League.

WWLLD
  • W 3-0 at Worthing 2026-10-31
  • W 2-0 v Aldershot Town 2026-10-28
  • L 1-3 at Harrogate Town 2026-10-24
  • L 0-2 v Boreham Wood 2026-10-09
  • D 1-1 at Kidderminster Harriers 2026-10-03

From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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