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Newport County vs Walsall prediction

England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

Newport CountyDrawWalsall
Model 2
29%27%44%
Market 12
37%28%35%

Brit Predictor's model rates Walsall to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Newport County 29% at home, a draw 27% and Walsall 44%, so its call is 2: Walsall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 28% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Newport County and 1.5 for Walsall; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score52%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Newport County

Attack 47th of 80, defence 50th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League Two.

WLDDW
  • W 4-1 v Chesterfield 2026-10-30
  • L 0-1 at Cheltenham Town 2026-10-24
  • D 2-2 at Rotherham United 2026-10-20
  • D 1-1 v York City 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 v Colchester United 2026-10-10

Walsall

Attack 31st of 80, defence 21st of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League Two.

WLWDD
  • W 3-1 at Colchester United 2026-10-31
  • L 2-4 v Salford City 2026-10-26
  • W 3-0 v Oldham Athletic 2026-10-20
  • D 1-1 at Swindon Town 2026-10-17
  • D 1-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-10-10

From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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