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Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch prediction

England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

Plymouth ArgyleDrawAlvechurch
Model 1
90%
Market 1
82%12%

Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth Argyle to win as the most likely result (90%). It gives Plymouth Argyle 90% at home, a draw 7% and Alvechurch 3%, so its call is 1: Plymouth Argyle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 82% / 12% / 6%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 4.1 for Plymouth Argyle and 0.9 for Alvechurch; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 87%. Careful: there is little recent data on Alvechurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals4.1 – 0.9
GoalsOver 2.5 · 87% O2.5
Both teams score56%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Plymouth Argyle

Attack 2nd of 80, defence 19th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League One.

DWLLW
  • D 0-0 v Reading 2026-10-31
  • W 3-2 at Cambridge United 2026-10-24
  • L 0-3 at Stevenage 2026-10-20
  • L 0-2 v Huddersfield Town 2026-10-17
  • W 2-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-10-10

Alvechurch

Attack 52nd of 80, defence 74th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England lower leagues.

No recent league games.

From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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