Brit Predictor
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York City vs Northampton Town prediction

England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

York CityDrawNorthampton Town
Model 1
55%25%20%
Market 1
53%25%23%

Brit Predictor's model rates York City to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives York City 55% at home, a draw 25% and Northampton Town 20%, so its call is 1: York City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 25% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for York City and 0.9 for Northampton Town; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.

Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 53%
Both teams score48%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

York City

Attack 18th of 80, defence 38th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League Two.

LLWDD
  • L 2-5 at Grimsby Town 2026-10-31
  • L 1-3 at Barnet 2026-10-27
  • W 2-0 v Port Vale 2026-10-24
  • D 1-1 v Accrington Stanley 2026-10-20
  • D 1-1 at Newport County 2026-10-17

Northampton Town

Attack 68th of 80, defence 27th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League Two.

DWLWD
  • D 1-1 at Accrington Stanley 2026-10-31
  • W 2-0 v Colchester United 2026-10-24
  • L 0-1 v Tranmere Rovers 2026-10-20
  • W 2-0 at Grimsby Town 2026-10-17
  • D 1-1 at York City 2026-10-10

From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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