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Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
Model 1
42%29%29%
Market 12
37%28%34%

Brit Predictor's model rates Crewe Alexandra to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Crewe Alexandra 42% at home, a draw 29% and AFC Wimbledon 29%, so its call is 1: Crewe Alexandra to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 28% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.0 for AFC Wimbledon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 61%
Both teams score45%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Crewe Alexandra

Attack 37th of 80, defence 32nd of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League Two.

DLLWW
  • D 1-1 v Barnet 2026-10-31
  • L 1-5 at Chesterfield 2026-10-24
  • L 0-2 at Exeter City 2026-10-20
  • W 3-2 v Rochdale 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 at Swindon Town 2026-10-10

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 48th of 80, defence 25th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League One.

LDLLL
  • L 1-2 at Stockport County 2026-10-31
  • D 1-1 v Wycombe Wanderers 2026-10-24
  • L 0-3 v Mansfield Town 2026-10-20
  • L 0-5 at Sheffield Wednesday 2026-10-17
  • L 1-2 at Plymouth Argyle 2026-10-10

From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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