Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction
England FA Cup · Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burton Albion to win as the most likely result (80%). It gives Burton Albion 80% at home, a draw 13% and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 8%, so its call is 1: Burton Albion to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 91% / 6% / 3%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.9 for Burton Albion and 0.8 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 73%. Careful: there is little recent data on AFC Rushden & Diamonds, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Burton Albion
Attack 28th of 80, defence 18th of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England League One.
- L 0-2 at Wycombe Wanderers 2026-10-31
- W 2-1 v Leyton Orient 2026-10-24
- D 0-0 v Bradford City 2026-10-20
- D 2-2 at Peterborough United 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 at Doncaster Rovers 2026-10-10
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Attack 49th of 80, defence 71st of 80 among this competition's clubs. League: England lower leagues.
No recent league games.
From 20964 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.
More England FA Cup games on Sat 7 Nov
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- York City vs Northampton Town
- Salisbury FC vs Sholing
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United
- Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Newport County vs Walsall
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town
- Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield FC
- Luton Town vs Forest Green Rovers
- Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster Rovers
