Brit Predictor

Southampton vs QPR prediction

England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeSouthampton 4–1 QPRResult 1

Who wins?

SouthamptonDrawQPR
Model 1 ✓
64%20%16%
Market 1 ✓
53%24%23%

Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (64%). It gives Southampton 64% at home, a draw 20% and QPR 16%, so its call is 1: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 24% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.2 for Southampton and 1.1 for QPR; the single most likely score is 2-1.

Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Southampton

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.

WDWWL
  • W 3-2 at West Ham 2026-10-24
  • D 0-0 v Bolton 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 at Norwich 2026-10-14
  • W 1-0 v Portsmouth 2026-10-11
  • L 1-2 at Wrexham 2026-09-19

QPR

Attack 9th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

WLWDD
  • W 5-0 v Swansea 2026-10-24
  • L 0-3 at Birmingham 2026-10-17
  • W 4-1 v Derby 2026-10-14
  • D 1-1 at West Ham 2026-10-09
  • D 2-2 v Preston 2026-09-19

From 1249 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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