Millwall vs Derby prediction
England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeMillwall 4–1 DerbyResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
MillwallDrawDerby
Model 1 ✓
49%27%24%
Market 1 ✓
57%24%19%
Brit Predictor's model rates Millwall to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Millwall 49% at home, a draw 27% and Derby 24%, so its call is 1: Millwall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Millwall and 1.0 for Derby; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score49%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 11th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
LDLWD
- L 1-2 at Portsmouth 2026-10-24
- D 2-2 v Lincoln 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 v Swansea 2026-10-13
- W 1-0 at Preston 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 v West Ham 2026-09-19
Derby
Attack 15th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
DLLDD
- D 1-1 at Sheffield United 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 v Stoke 2026-10-17
- L 1-4 at QPR 2026-10-14
- D 1-1 v Wrexham 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-19
From 1249 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 31 Oct
- Lincoln vs Birmingham · FT 1–3
- Norwich vs Watford · FT 3–2
- Stoke vs Preston · FT 2–0
- Bolton vs Bristol City · FT 2–3
- Burnley vs Portsmouth · FT 0–0
- Middlesbrough vs Charlton · FT 3–0
- Southampton vs QPR · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs Blackburn · FT 4–0
- West Ham vs West Brom · FT 1–3
- Wolves vs Cardiff · FT 3–0